| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 53.6% | 65% | -11.3% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 53.1% | 46.9% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 43.8% | 56.2% |
| logistic | 46.2% | 53.8% |
| Nicolas Kicker | Facundo Mena | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1604 | 1654 |
| Surface Elo | 1604 | 1654 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 2.14 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.33 | 1.29 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.83 | 0.43 |
| Rest days | 2 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 3 W · 0 D |
| 13 Oct | A | Thiago Cigarran | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Thiago Seyboth Wild | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Facundo Mena | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Thiago Cigarran | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | H | Thiago Cigarran | 0 - 1 | L |
| 13 Oct | A | Pedro Boscardin Dias | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Nicolas Kicker | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Pedro Boscardin Dias | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Luis "Guto" Miguel | 0 - 1 | L |
| 28 Sep | H | Luis "Guto" Miguel | 0 - 1 | L |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Facundo Mena | 0 - 2 | Nicolas Kicker |
| 25 Sep 2026 | Facundo Mena | 2 - 0 | Nicolas Kicker |
| 21 Sep 2026 | Facundo Mena | 2 - 0 | Nicolas Kicker |
| 07 Mar 2022 | Facundo Mena | 0 - 2 | Nicolas Kicker |
| 04 Oct 2021 | Facundo Mena | 2 - 0 | Nicolas Kicker |
| 15 Mar 2021 | Facundo Mena | 1 - 2 | Nicolas Kicker |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.54 | 64.9% | 15 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.35 | 42.5% | 15 Oct 06:15 |