| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 84.9% | 93% | -8.6% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 17.8% | 82.2% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 13.8% | 86.2% |
| logistic | 21.6% | 78.4% |
| Magdalena Frech | Iga Swiatek | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1586 | 1949 |
| Surface Elo | 1586 | 1949 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 2.25 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.17 | 0.75 |
| Rest days | 1 | 4 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 12 Oct | A | Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Iga Swiatek | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 2 - 0 | W |
| 11 Oct | H | Aoi Ito | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 Oct | A | Nikola Bartunkova | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Maja Chwalinska | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Ann Li | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Ashlyn Krueger | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Magdalena Frech | 2 - 0 | W |
| 09 Oct | A | Elise Mertens | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Iga Swiatek | 2 - 0 | Magdalena Frech |
| 25 Jul 2022 | Iga Swiatek | 2 - 0 | Magdalena Frech |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.07 | 93.5% | 13 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 9.40 | 10.6% | 13 Oct 06:15 |