| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 44.8% | 62% | -17.4% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or away | 72.7% | 81% | -8.3% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 59.0% | 85% | -26.0% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 49.3% | 44% | +5.2% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 50.8% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 38.0% | 29.8% | 32.2% |
| xgboost | 39.9% | 29.1% | 31.1% |
| logistic | 36.4% | 25.8% | 37.8% |
| Athens Kallithea | Asteras Tripolis | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1462 | 1464 |
| Surface Elo | 1462 | 1464 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 497 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 2 W · 0 D |
| 20 Sep | H | Panserraikos | 2 - 1 | W |
| 18 May | A | Volos NFC | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 May | H | Panserraikos | 1 - 1 | D |
| 10 May | A | Levadeiakos | 1 - 4 | L |
| 05 May | H | Panetolikos | 0 - 0 | D |
| 20 Sep | A | OFI Crete | 2 - 2 | D |
| 20 Sep | A | OFI Crete | 2 - 2 | D |
| 20 Sep | H | Apollon | 1 - 0 | W |
| 13 Sep | H | AEK | 1 - 1 | D |
| 07 Sep | H | Iraklis | 0 - 2 | L |
| 25 Jan 2025 | Asteras Tripolis | 1 - 0 | Athens Kallithea |
| 06 Oct 2024 | Athens Kallithea | 1 - 3 | Asteras Tripolis |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 5.30 | 18.9% | 28 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.50 | 28.6% | 28 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.59 | 62.9% | 28 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.25 | 44.4% | 28 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.56 | 64.1% | 28 Sep 06:15 |