| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 49.1% | 49% | -0.1% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or away | 77.5% | 79% | -1.3% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 62.7% | 67% | -4.5% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.8% | 56% | +0.2% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 54.7% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 34.5% | 28.0% | 37.5% |
| xgboost | 32.0% | 23.1% | 44.8% |
| logistic | 19.6% | 22.0% | 58.4% |
| Istanbulspor | Antalyaspor | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1349 | 1472 |
| Surface Elo | 1349 | 1472 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.00 | 0.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.33 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.67 | 1.33 |
| Rest days | 874 | 153 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 2 W · 2 D |
| 14 Oct | A | Batman Petrolspor | 2 - 4 | L |
| 10 Oct | H | Esenler Erokspor | 0 - 1 | L |
| 20 Sep | A | Manisa Futbol Kulubu | 1 - 0 | W |
| 26 May | A | Fenerbahce | 0 - 6 | L |
| 17 May | H | Sivasspor | 1 - 3 | L |
| 14 Oct | H | Kayserispor | 0 - 4 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Boluspor | 1 - 0 | W |
| 20 Sep | H | Van Spor FK | 3 - 0 | W |
| 17 May | H | Kocaelispor | 1 - 0 | W |
| 09 May | A | Galatasaray | 2 - 4 | L |
| 17 Feb 2024 | Antalyaspor | 2 - 2 | Istanbulspor |
| 30 Sep 2023 | Istanbulspor | 1 - 2 | Antalyaspor |
| 19 Apr 2023 | Istanbulspor | 3 - 3 | Antalyaspor |
| 21 Oct 2022 | Antalyaspor | 2 - 1 | Istanbulspor |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.05 | 48.8% | 18 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.50 | 28.6% | 18 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.40 | 29.4% | 18 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.81 | 55.2% | 18 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.97 | 50.8% | 18 Oct 06:15 |