| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 56.6% | 61% | -4.7% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 46.6% | 53.4% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 37.6% | 62.3% |
| logistic | 43.9% | 56.1% |
| Rinky Hijikata | Yannick Hanfmann | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1742 | 1861 |
| Surface Elo | 1742 | 1861 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.80 | 1.33 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.20 | 1.33 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 24 Oct | A | Miomir Kecmanovic | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Oct | A | Terence Atmane | 0 - 2 | L |
| 20 Oct | H | Terence Atmane | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Oct | H | Roman Safiullin | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Oct | H | Roman Safiullin | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Oct | A | Marcos Giron | 2 - 1 | W |
| 09 Oct | H | Frances Tiafoe | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Oct | H | Kamil Majchrzak | 2 - 1 | W |
| 16 Aug | A | Arthur Fils | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Aug | A | Luca Van Assche | 2 - 0 | W |
| 16 Jan 2023 | Rinky Hijikata | 3 - 2 | Yannick Hanfmann |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.63 | 61.4% | 25 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.35 | 42.5% | 25 Oct 06:15 |