| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 70.1% | 74% | -4.0% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 26.1% | 73.8% |
| logistic | 40.1% | 59.9% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Juan Pablo Varillas | Barrios Vera, Marcelo Tomas | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1549 | 1538 |
| Surface Elo | 1549 | 1538 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.00 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.13 | 1.64 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.88 | 1.36 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.13 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 7 | 6 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 03 Nov | A | Filip Misolic | 1 - 2 | L |
| 02 Nov | A | Filip Misolic | 1 - 2 | L |
| 27 Oct | H | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez | 0 - 2 | L |
| 26 Oct | H | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Oct | A | Gustavo Heide | 0 - 1 | L |
| 04 Nov | A | Lautaro Midon | 1 - 2 | L |
| 02 Nov | H | Henrique Rocha | 2 - 0 | W |
| 29 Oct | H | Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo | 0 - 2 | L |
| 27 Oct | H | Juan Estevez | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Nicolas Jarry | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.35 | 74.1% | 10 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.05 | 32.8% | 10 Nov 06:15 |