| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 61.3% | 76% | -15.1% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 34.5% | 65.5% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| logistic | failed: ValueError | |
| xgboost | failed: ValueError | |
| Peyton Stearns | Iva Jovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1576 | 1770 |
| Surface Elo | 1576 | 1770 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 20 | 20 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 19 Sep | A | Liudmila Samsonova | 2 - 0 | W |
| 18 Sep | H | Sloane Stephens | 2 - 0 | W |
| 15 Sep | A | Diane Parry | 2 - 0 | W |
| 13 Sep | A | Iva Jovic | 0 - 2 | L |
| 13 Sep | A | Liudmila Samsonova | 2 - 0 | W |
| 18 Sep | A | Cristina Bucsa | 2 - 0 | W |
| 17 Sep | A | Magdalena Frech | 2 - 0 | W |
| 16 Sep | A | Zeynep Sonmez | 2 - 0 | W |
| 13 Sep | H | Peyton Stearns | 2 - 0 | W |
| 13 Sep | A | Cristina Bucsa | 2 - 0 | W |
| 13 Sep 2026 | Iva Jovic | 2 - 0 | Peyton Stearns |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.31 | 76.3% | 19 Sep 06:16 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.60 | 27.8% | 19 Sep 06:16 |