| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 71.2% | 67% | +4.1% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 28.8% | 71.2% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 25.5% | 74.5% |
| logistic | 39.1% | 60.9% |
| Dayana Yastremska | Maja Chwalinska | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1491 | 1627 |
| Surface Elo | 1491 | 1627 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 1.67 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.00 | 0.67 |
| Rest days | 2 | 5 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 30 Sep | A | Caty McNally | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | H | Sinja Kraus | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | H | Maja Chwalinska | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Caty McNally | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Aug | H | Lucrezia Stefanini | 1 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | A | Dayana Yastremska | 0 - 2 | L |
| 26 Sep | A | Leylah Fernandez | 1 - 2 | L |
| 25 Sep | A | Elise Mertens | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Rebecca Sramkova | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Leylah Fernandez | 1 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep 2026 | Dayana Yastremska | 2 - 0 | Maja Chwalinska |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.49 | 67.1% | 01 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.70 | 37.0% | 01 Oct 06:15 |