| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 50.9% | 10% | +40.9% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 22.8% | 77.2% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 81.1% | 18.9% |
| logistic | 43.5% | 56.5% |
| Garrett Johns | Taro Daniel | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1450 | 1681 |
| Surface Elo | 1450 | 1681 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.00 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 5 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 22 Oct | A | Manish Sureshkumar | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | A | Lorenzo Angelini | 1 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | H | Lorenzo Angelini | 1 - 2 | L |
| 24 Aug | H | Max Purcell | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Aug | A | Aidan Kim | 2 - 1 | W |
| 27 Oct | H | Andre Ilagan | 2 - 0 | W |
| 17 Oct | H | Nikoloz Basilashvili | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | A | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | 0 - 2 | L |
| 25 Sep | A | Fabian Marozsan | 1 - 2 | L |
| 25 Sep | A | Fabian Marozsan | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 10.00 | 10.0% | 28 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.02 | 98.0% | 28 Oct 06:15 |