| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 60.2% | 82% | -21.8% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 46.8% | 53.2% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 21.3% | 78.7% |
| logistic | 48.1% | 51.9% |
| Naoya Honda | Liam Broady | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1488 | 1528 |
| Surface Elo | 1488 | 1528 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Rest days | 1 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 27 Oct | H | Filip Peliwo | 2 - 1 | W |
| 25 Oct | A | Ryuki Matsuda | 2 - 0 | W |
| 18 Oct | A | Kasidit Samrej | 1 - 2 | L |
| 17 Sep | A | Petr Bar Biryukov | 0 - 2 | L |
| 16 Sep | H | Nikoloz Basilashvili | 2 - 1 | W |
| 27 Oct | A | Sergey Fomin | 2 - 1 | W |
| 22 Oct | H | Akira Santillan | 0 - 2 | L |
| 20 Oct | H | Dominik Palan | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg | 0 - 1 | L |
| 30 Sep | H | Dominic Stricker | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.21 | 82.6% | 29 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 4.15 | 24.1% | 29 Oct 06:15 |