| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 64.8% | 73% | -8.2% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 37.1% | 62.9% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 23.9% | 76.1% |
| logistic | 37.4% | 62.6% |
| Hamad Medjedovic | Brandon Nakashima | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1774 | 1925 |
| Surface Elo | 1774 | 1925 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.00 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 1.33 |
| Rest days | 12 | 9 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 20 Oct | A | Brandon Nakashima | 1 - 2 | L |
| 08 Oct | A | Thiago Agustin Tirante | 0 - 2 | L |
| 08 Oct | H | Thiago Agustin Tirante | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Aug | H | Kamil Majchrzak | 0 - 3 | L |
| 15 Aug | H | Marco Trungelliti | 0 - 2 | L |
| 20 Oct | H | Hamad Medjedovic | 2 - 1 | W |
| 11 Oct | A | Alexander Bublik | 1 - 2 | L |
| 11 Oct | A | Alexander Bublik | 1 - 2 | L |
| 09 Oct | A | Matteo Berrettini | 2 - 0 | W |
| 09 Oct | H | Matteo Berrettini | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Oct 2026 | Brandon Nakashima | 2 - 1 | Hamad Medjedovic |
| 13 Oct 2025 | Brandon Nakashima | 2 - 0 | Hamad Medjedovic |
| 04 Nov 2024 | Brandon Nakashima | 1 - 2 | Hamad Medjedovic |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.37 | 73.0% | 20 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.20 | 31.2% | 20 Oct 06:15 |