| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 54.5% | 78% | -23.6% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or draw | 80.0% | 93% | -12.7% | ✗ miss |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 72.4% | 91% | -18.8% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.1% | 70% | -11.1% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 57.2% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 55.0% | 21.6% | 23.4% |
| xgboost | 52.8% | 26.5% | 20.7% |
| logistic | 58.4% | 23.2% | 18.4% |
| Inter | Club Brugge | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1922 | 1818 |
| Surface Elo | 1922 | 1818 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.60 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.20 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 3 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 13 Oct | A | FC Giugliano 1928 | 4 - 0 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Parma | 3 - 0 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Parma | 3 - 0 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | AC Savoia 1908 | 1 - 2 | L |
| 20 Sep | H | Foggia | 3 - 2 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | RAAL La Louviere | 4 - 1 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | RAAL La Louviere | 4 - 1 | W |
| 20 Sep | H | Genk | 3 - 0 | W |
| 20 Sep | H | Genk | 3 - 0 | W |
| 13 Sep | H | Antwerp | 3 - 1 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 11.33 | 8.8% | 13 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 7.04 | 14.2% | 13 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.27 | 78.7% | 13 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.40 | 71.4% | 13 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 3.10 | 32.3% | 13 Oct 06:15 |