| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 74.7% | 75% | -0.5% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 59.8% | 40.2% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 73.2% | 26.7% |
| logistic | 73.3% | 26.7% |
| Tomas Machac | Borna Gojo | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1835 | 1766 |
| Surface Elo | 1835 | 1766 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.91 | 2.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.36 | 1.67 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.82 | 0.67 |
| Rest days | 4 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 04 Nov | A | Arthur Fils | 0 - 2 | L |
| 04 Nov | A | Arthur Fils | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 Nov | A | Kyrian Jacquet | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Nov | A | Kyrian Jacquet | 2 - 0 | W |
| 01 Nov | A | Sebastian Baez | 2 - 0 | W |
| 08 Nov | A | Nikoloz Basilashvili | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Nov | A | Mika Brunold | 2 - 1 | W |
| 28 Oct | H | Dino Prizmic | 0 - 1 | L |
| 27 Oct | A | Tom Paris | 2 - 1 | W |
| 26 Oct | H | Dino Prizmic | 0 - 2 | L |
| 04 Oct 2021 | Borna Gojo | 0 - 2 | Tomas Machac |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.45 | 29.0% | 09 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.33 | 75.2% | 09 Nov 06:15 |