| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 51.8% | 51% | +0.8% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or draw | 77.5% | 80% | -2.1% | ✗ miss |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 69.4% | 69% | +0.1% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 48.0% | 54% | -5.8% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 53.6% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 50.6% | 28.7% | 20.6% |
| xgboost | 42.1% | 32.0% | 25.9% |
| logistic | 47.9% | 27.4% | 24.7% |
| Kidderminster | Yeovil | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1466 | 1405 |
| Surface Elo | 1466 | 1405 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.10 |
| Season points per game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.00 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 7 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 19 Sep | A | Woking | 0 - 0 | D |
| 19 Sep | A | Woking | 0 - 0 | D |
| 16 Sep | H | Gateshead | 1 - 0 | W |
| 11 Sep | H | Hartlepool | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Sep | A | Wealdstone | 4 - 1 | W |
| 18 Sep | H | Solihull | 4 - 1 | W |
| 15 Sep | A | Aldershot | 1 - 1 | D |
| 12 Sep | H | Fylde | 1 - 4 | L |
| 05 Sep | A | Southend | 2 - 3 | L |
| 31 Aug | H | Tamworth | 3 - 2 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.50 | 28.6% | 25 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.50 | 28.6% | 25 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.96 | 51.0% | 25 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.86 | 53.8% | 25 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.88 | 53.2% | 25 Sep 06:15 |