| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 69.4% | 77% | -7.5% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 34.5% | 65.5% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 28.6% | 71.3% |
| logistic | 24.6% | 75.4% |
| Gonzalo Bueno | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1624 | 1738 |
| Surface Elo | 1624 | 1738 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 3.00 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.88 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.60 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.88 | 0.20 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 06 Nov | H | Lautaro Midon | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Nov | H | Eduardo Ribeiro | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Nov | A | Daniel Elahi Galan | 2 - 1 | W |
| 02 Nov | A | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 Nov | H | Lautaro Midon | 2 - 0 | W |
| 06 Nov | A | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Nov | A | Igor Marcondes | 1 - 0 | W |
| 03 Nov | A | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | 2 - 1 | W |
| 02 Nov | H | Thiago Seyboth Wild | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Nov | H | Gonzalo Bueno | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Nov 2026 | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 2 - 0 | Gonzalo Bueno |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.30 | 76.9% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.35 | 29.8% | 07 Nov 06:15 |