| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 43.0% | 52% | -8.5% | |
| DC | Home or away | 75.2% | 82% | -6.7% | |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 56.5% | 68% | -11.7% | |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.9% | 68% | -13.2% | |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 56.9% | no line |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 38.8% | 24.7% | 36.4% |
| xgboost | 31.1% | 23.6% | 45.3% |
| logistic | 29.9% | 27.9% | 42.3% |
| Eastleigh | Fylde | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1390 | 1439 |
| Surface Elo | 1390 | 1439 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.20 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.13 | 1.38 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.88 | 1.63 |
| Rest days | 14 | 14 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 3 W · 5 D |
| 07 Nov | H | Shrewsbury | 1 - 2 | L |
| 31 Oct | A | Barrow | 1 - 1 | D |
| 31 Oct | A | Barrow | 1 - 1 | D |
| 28 Oct | A | Forest Green | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Oct | A | Forest Green | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Nov | A | Harrogate | 4 - 1 | W |
| 30 Oct | H | Hornchurch | 3 - 1 | W |
| 30 Oct | H | Hornchurch | 3 - 1 | W |
| 27 Oct | H | Hartlepool | 3 - 1 | W |
| 27 Oct | H | Hartlepool | 3 - 1 | W |
| 14 Dec 2024 | Fylde | 2 - 2 | Eastleigh |
| 17 Aug 2024 | Eastleigh | 4 - 2 | Fylde |
| 10 Feb 2024 | Eastleigh | 1 - 2 | Fylde |
| 16 Sep 2023 | Fylde | 1 - 2 | Eastleigh |
| 11 Feb 2020 | Eastleigh | 2 - 2 | Fylde |
| 21 Sep 2019 | Fylde | 3 - 1 | Eastleigh |
| 06 Apr 2019 | Fylde | 4 - 2 | Eastleigh |
| 08 Sep 2018 | Eastleigh | 0 - 0 | Fylde |
| 03 Feb 2018 | Fylde | 2 - 2 | Eastleigh |
| 16 Sep 2017 | Eastleigh | 2 - 2 | Fylde |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.94 | 51.5% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.80 | 26.3% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.30 | 30.3% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.47 | 68.0% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.60 | 38.5% | 12 Nov 06:15 |