| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 48.2% | 42% | +6.3% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 75.4% | 78% | -2.5% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 60.7% | 57% | +3.9% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.8% | 61% | -7.6% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 55.0% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 47.8% | 27.8% | 24.4% |
| xgboost | 29.5% | 24.9% | 45.6% |
| logistic | 25.4% | 28.0% | 46.7% |
| Blackburn | Cardiff | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1504 | 1553 |
| Surface Elo | 1504 | 1553 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.13 | 0.88 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.25 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 21 | 21 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 5 W | 2 W · 3 D |
| 19 Sep | A | Portsmouth | 2 - 2 | D |
| 19 Sep | A | Portsmouth | 2 - 2 | D |
| 12 Sep | H | Millwall | 3 - 1 | W |
| 08 Sep | H | Sheffield Utd | 1 - 2 | L |
| 05 Sep | A | Preston | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Sep | H | Charlton | 3 - 1 | W |
| 19 Sep | H | Charlton | 3 - 1 | W |
| 12 Sep | A | Bolton | 0 - 1 | L |
| 08 Sep | H | Stoke | 1 - 1 | D |
| 05 Sep | A | Portsmouth | 0 - 2 | L |
| 15 Mar 2025 | Blackburn | 1 - 2 | Cardiff |
| 09 Nov 2024 | Cardiff | 1 - 3 | Blackburn |
| 20 Feb 2024 | Cardiff | 0 - 0 | Blackburn |
| 21 Oct 2023 | Blackburn | 1 - 0 | Cardiff |
| 01 Jan 2023 | Blackburn | 1 - 0 | Cardiff |
| 04 Oct 2022 | Cardiff | 1 - 0 | Blackburn |
| 15 Jan 2022 | Cardiff | 0 - 1 | Blackburn |
| 25 Sep 2021 | Blackburn | 5 - 1 | Cardiff |
| 10 Apr 2021 | Cardiff | 2 - 2 | Blackburn |
| 03 Oct 2020 | Blackburn | 0 - 0 | Cardiff |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 2.45 | 40.8% | 10 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.40 | 29.4% | 10 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 2.57 | 38.9% | 10 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.73 | 57.8% | 10 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.10 | 47.6% | 10 Oct 15:00 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.37 | 42.2% | 10 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.77 | 26.5% | 10 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.92 | 34.2% | 10 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.64 | 61.0% | 10 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.30 | 43.5% | 10 Oct 06:15 |