| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 59.5% | 64% | -4.2% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 45.9% | 38.4% |
| xgboost | 68.0% | 30.9% |
| logistic | 73.3% | 26.7% |
| Pittsburgh Penguins | Winnipeg Jets | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1545 | 1455 |
| Surface Elo | 1545 | 1455 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.20 |
| Season points per game | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 6.50 | 3.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.50 | 3.00 |
| Rest days | 2 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 3 W · 0 D |
| 03 Oct | H | Montréal Canadiens | 6 - 5 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Philadelphia Flyers | 7 - 0 | W |
| 29 Apr | A | Philadelphia Flyers | 0 - 1 | L |
| 27 Apr | H | Philadelphia Flyers | 3 - 2 | W |
| 26 Apr | A | Philadelphia Flyers | 4 - 2 | W |
| 04 Oct | A | Detroit Red Wings | 3 - 2 | W |
| 03 Oct | H | Boston Bruins | 3 - 4 | L |
| 17 Apr | H | San Jose Sharks | 1 - 6 | L |
| 15 Apr | A | Utah Utah Hockey Club | 3 - 5 | L |
| 14 Apr | A | Vegas Golden Knights | 2 - 6 | L |
| 21 Mar 2026 | Pittsburgh Penguins | 5 - 4 | Winnipeg Jets |
| 01 Nov 2025 | Winnipeg Jets | 5 - 2 | Pittsburgh Penguins |
| 23 Nov 2024 | Pittsburgh Penguins | 1 - 4 | Winnipeg Jets |
| 20 Oct 2024 | Winnipeg Jets | 6 - 3 | Pittsburgh Penguins |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | home | 1.57 | 63.7% | 05 Oct 18:20 |
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | away | 2.58 | 38.8% | 05 Oct 18:20 |