| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 51.7% | 29% | +23.1% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.6% | 35.0% |
| xgboost | 52.7% | 47.2% |
| logistic | 50.4% | 49.6% |
| Mickael Kaouk | Anton Matusevich | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1479 | 1526 |
| Surface Elo | 1479 | 1526 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.75 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 78 | 22 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 14 Sep | A | Anton Matusevich | 0 - 2 | L |
| 29 Jun | A | Marvin Moeller | 0 - 2 | L |
| 29 Jun | A | Dali Blanch | 2 - 1 | W |
| 08 Jun | A | Matteo Martineau | 1 - 2 | L |
| 29 Sep | A | Loann Massard | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | H | Tristan Schoolkate | 1 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | H | Mickael Kaouk | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Aug | H | Michele Ribecai | 1 - 2 | L |
| 24 Aug | H | Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine | 2 - 1 | W |
| 17 Aug | H | Oliver Tarvet | 1 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep 2026 | Anton Matusevich | 2 - 0 | Mickael Kaouk |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.28 | 78.1% | 15 Sep 09:05 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.50 | 28.6% | 15 Sep 09:05 |