| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 58.2% | 66% | -8.2% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 55.4% | 44.6% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 26.8% | 73.1% |
| logistic | 40.6% | 59.4% |
| Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez | Hugo Dellien | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1618 | 1728 |
| Surface Elo | 1618 | 1728 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.44 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.83 | 0.56 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 2 W · 0 D |
| 27 Oct | A | Juan Pablo Varillas | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Oct | H | Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 1 - 2 | L |
| 14 Oct | H | Hugo Dellien | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Juan Estevez | 2 - 1 | W |
| 27 Oct | A | Nicolas Jarry | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Oct | H | Juan Manuel La Serna | 0 - 1 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Juan Manuel La Serna | 0 - 1 | L |
| 18 Oct | A | Thiago Seyboth Wild | 0 - 1 | L |
| 17 Oct | A | Juan Manuel La Serna | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Oct 2026 | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez | 0 - 2 | Hugo Dellien |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Hugo Dellien | 2 - 0 | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.52 | 65.8% | 29 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.40 | 41.7% | 29 Oct 06:15 |