OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to 🎾 Tennis on 2026-10-22
🎾 ATP Challenger Florence, Italy Men Singles · Thursday 22 October 2026, 08:00 UTC · finished
Federico Bondioli 0.60 0 - 2 0.60 Francesco Forti
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 56.0%61%-4.9%✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeAway
markov45.2%54.8%
poisson37.1%35.2%
xgboost38.0%62.0%
logistic48.3%51.7%
Inputs the models saw
Federico BondioliFrancesco Forti
Elo (pre-match)15111536
Surface Elo15111536
Form, last 5 (PPG)0.600.60
Form trend-0.60-0.60
Season points per game1.501.67
Season goals for / game1.501.22
Season goals against / game1.501.00
Rest days22
Head-to-head (last 10)0 W0 W · 0 D
Federico Bondioli: last 5
19 OctAZdenek Kolar2 - 1W
19 OctHFrancesco Forti0 - 2L
19 OctHZdenek Kolar2 - 1W
13 OctAEnrico Dalla Valle1 - 2L
12 OctAEnrico Dalla Valle1 - 2L
Francesco Forti: last 5
19 OctHJonas Forejtek2 - 0W
19 OctHOriol Roca Batalla1 - 2L
19 OctAFederico Bondioli2 - 0W
19 OctHJonas Forejtek2 - 0W
12 OctHZdenek Kolar1 - 2L
Head to head
19 Oct 2026Federico Bondioli0 - 2Francesco Forti
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away1.6062.5%22 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home2.2544.4%22 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 15:03 UTC