| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 59.6% | 59% | +1.0% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 39.8% | 60.2% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 47.3% | 52.6% |
| logistic | 41.4% | 58.6% |
| Ivan Ivanov | Adrian Andreev | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1444 | 1527 |
| Surface Elo | 1444 | 1527 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 2 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 22 Sep | A | Filip Cristian Jianu | 1 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Adrian Andreev | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Filip Cristian Jianu | 2 - 0 | W |
| 01 Sep | H | Mark Lajal | 1 - 2 | L |
| 01 Sep | H | Maximus Jones | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Sep | H | Oleg Prihodko | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Dusan Obradovic | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Jonas Forejtek | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | H | Izan Almazan Valiente | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Ivan Ivanov | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep 2026 | Adrian Andreev | 2 - 0 | Ivan Ivanov |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.71 | 58.5% | 24 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.05 | 48.8% | 24 Sep 06:15 |