| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 62.7% | 75% | -12.0% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 57.1% | 42.9% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 17.6% | 82.3% |
| logistic | 44.9% | 55.1% |
| Ajeet Rai | Jake Delaney | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1473 | 1465 |
| Surface Elo | 1473 | 1465 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | -0.90 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 0.67 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.67 |
| Rest days | 713 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 28 Oct | H | Yuta Shimizu | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Oct | H | Yuki Mochizuki | 2 - 1 | W |
| 28 Oct | H | Alex Bolt | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Oct | H | Ryuki Matsuda | 1 - 2 | L |
| 02 Sep | H | Beibit Zhukayev | 1 - 2 | L |
| 09 Oct | H | Zane Stevens | 0 - 2 | L |
| 08 Oct | H | Wihan Van Der Merwe | 2 - 0 | W |
| 01 Oct | A | Vickery, L | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Sam Ryan Ziegann | 2 - 0 | W |
| 17 Sep | A | Bernard Tomic | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Oct 2022 | Ajeet Rai | 2 - 0 | Jake Delaney |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.34 | 74.6% | 11 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.10 | 32.3% | 11 Oct 06:15 |