| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 66.4% | 82% | -15.6% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 65.1% | 34.9% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 79.1% | 20.9% |
| logistic | 62.0% | 38.0% |
| Philip Henning | Louis Wessels | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1557 | 1432 |
| Surface Elo | 1557 | 1432 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | -0.90 | -0.90 |
| Season points per game | 2.25 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.33 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 22 Oct | H | Antoine Walch | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Oct | H | Robin Catry | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Oct | A | Dominic Stricker | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Dominic Stricker | 0 - 2 | L |
| 08 Oct | H | Borna Gojo | 0 - 2 | L |
| 22 Oct | A | Kenny De Schepper | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Oct | A | Boutleux, Noah | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | H | Andrej Martin | 1 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | A | Andrej Martin | 1 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | H | Petros Tsitsipas | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.85 | 26.0% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.22 | 82.0% | 23 Oct 06:15 |