OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-18
⚽ France Ligue 1 · Sunday 18 October 2026, 18:45 UTC · finished
Lyon 1.60 2 - 1 1.40 Nice
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 55.3%no line✓ hit
DCHome or draw 82.0%no line✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 74.6%no line✓ hit
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 58.0%no line✓ hit
BTTSBTTS yes 56.3%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson56.1%23.7%20.3%
xgboost51.8%27.1%21.1%
logistic62.3%23.1%14.6%
Inputs the models saw
LyonNice
Elo (pre-match)17431609
Surface Elo17431609
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.601.40
Form trend0.20-0.80
Season points per game0.003.00
Season goals for / game1.002.00
Season goals against / game2.001.00
Rest days87
Head-to-head (last 10)5 W3 W · 2 D
Lyon: last 5
15 OctHCrystal Palace3 - 2W
09 OctALens1 - 2L
09 OctALens1 - 2L
19 SepHRennes4 - 0W
12 SepAParis FC0 - 0D
Nice: last 5
11 OctHStrasbourg2 - 1W
11 OctHStrasbourg2 - 1W
20 SepHLille2 - 1W
12 SepAAuxerre0 - 1L
05 SepHLe Mans1 - 1D
Head to head
15 Feb 2026Lyon2 - 0Nice
18 Oct 2025Nice3 - 2Lyon
09 Mar 2025Nice0 - 2Lyon
01 Dec 2024Lyon4 - 1Nice
16 Feb 2024Lyon1 - 0Nice
27 Aug 2023Nice0 - 0Lyon
03 Jun 2023Nice3 - 1Lyon
11 Nov 2022Lyon1 - 1Nice
12 Feb 2022Lyon2 - 0Nice
24 Oct 2021Nice3 - 2Lyon
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
No bookmaker lines stored.
Generated 2026-10-30 15:56 UTC