| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 65.2% | 69% | -4.3% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 59.9% | 40.1% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 70.2% | 29.7% |
| logistic | 55.0% | 45.0% |
| Florian Broska | Sergi Perez Contri | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1524 | 1473 |
| Surface Elo | 1524 | 1473 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.67 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 12 Oct | H | Milos Karol | 0 - 2 | L |
| 11 Oct | H | Adrian Oetzbach | 2 - 1 | W |
| 07 Oct | H | Lukas Neumayer | 1 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | H | Lukas Neumayer | 1 - 2 | L |
| 02 Oct | A | Gabi Adrian Boitan | 1 - 2 | L |
| 11 Oct | A | Tiago Cacao | 2 - 1 | W |
| 04 Oct | H | Nicolas Barrientos | 1 - 2 | L |
| 06 Apr | A | Jurij Rodionov | 1 - 2 | L |
| 06 Apr | A | Arthur Gea | 2 - 1 | W |
| 16 Mar | A | Kyrian Jacquet | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.65 | 37.7% | 12 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.44 | 69.4% | 12 Oct 06:15 |