| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 58.1% | 70% | -11.8% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Draw or away | 82.5% | 92% | -9.6% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 75.5% | 88% | -12.3% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.3% | 65% | -9.1% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 53.1% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 8.7% | 14.7% | 76.5% |
| xgboost | 18.0% | 25.6% | 56.4% |
| logistic | 20.1% | 25.2% | 54.7% |
| Montrose | Ross County | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1459 | 1548 |
| Surface Elo | 1459 | 1548 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 2.60 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | -0.20 |
| Season points per game | 1.67 | 2.75 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.44 | 3.25 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.56 | 0.63 |
| Rest days | 7 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 03 Oct | A | Airdrieonians FC | 0 - 1 | L |
| 03 Oct | A | Airdrie Utd | 0 - 1 | L |
| 26 Sep | A | Kelty Hearts | 1 - 2 | L |
| 22 Sep | A | Formartine United | 2 - 3 | L |
| 19 Sep | A | East Fife | 2 - 1 | W |
| 03 Oct | H | Alloa | 4 - 1 | W |
| 03 Oct | H | Alloa | 4 - 1 | W |
| 22 Sep | A | Clachnacuddin FC | 5 - 1 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Cove Rangers | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Cove Rangers | 2 - 0 | W |
| 08 Aug 2026 | Ross County | 2 - 1 | Montrose |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 1.44 | 69.4% | 10 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 4.20 | 23.8% | 10 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 5.50 | 18.2% | 10 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.57 | 63.7% | 10 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.35 | 42.5% | 10 Oct 15:00 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.44 | 69.4% | 10 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.70 | 21.3% | 10 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 6.10 | 16.4% | 10 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.53 | 65.4% | 10 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.45 | 40.8% | 10 Oct 06:15 |