| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 60.6% | 52% | +8.1% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 48.4% | 51.6% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 34.8% | 65.2% |
| logistic | 40.4% | 59.6% |
| Stefan Kozlov | Mitchell Krueger | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1506 | 1576 |
| Surface Elo | 1506 | 1576 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 1.80 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.50 | 1.20 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| Rest days | 8 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 3 W | 2 W · 0 D |
| 28 Sep | A | Mitchell Krueger | 1 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | A | James Trotter | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Sep | H | Colton Smith | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Colton Smith | 0 - 2 | L |
| 15 Sep | A | Darwin Blanch | 1 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | A | Tyler Zink | 1 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | A | Abdullah Shelbayh | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | A | Keegan Smith | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | H | Stefan Kozlov | 2 - 1 | W |
| 28 Sep | H | Tyler Zink | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep 2026 | Mitchell Krueger | 2 - 1 | Stefan Kozlov |
| 07 Jul 2025 | Mitchell Krueger | 2 - 1 | Stefan Kozlov |
| 15 Apr 2024 | Mitchell Krueger | 2 - 1 | Stefan Kozlov |
| 31 Oct 2022 | Mitchell Krueger | 1 - 2 | Stefan Kozlov |
| 15 Nov 2021 | Mitchell Krueger | 0 - 2 | Stefan Kozlov |
| 20 Sep 2021 | Mitchell Krueger | 0 - 2 | Stefan Kozlov |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.89 | 52.9% | 01 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.84 | 54.4% | 01 Oct 06:15 |