| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 55.2% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 57.6% | 42.4% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 54.6% | 45.3% |
| logistic | 51.3% | 48.7% |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | Rafael Jodar | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 2043 | 2033 |
| Surface Elo | 2043 | 2033 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.70 | 2.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.80 | 1.67 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 18 Oct | H | Rafael Jodar | 2 - 1 | W |
| 17 Oct | A | Alexander Zverev | 2 - 1 | W |
| 17 Oct | H | Alexander Zverev | 2 - 1 | W |
| 15 Oct | A | Arthur Gea | 1 - 0 | W |
| 15 Oct | H | Arthur Gea | 1 - 0 | W |
| 18 Oct | A | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 1 - 2 | L |
| 17 Oct | H | Daniil Medvedev | 2 - 0 | W |
| 17 Oct | A | Daniil Medvedev | 2 - 0 | W |
| 16 Oct | H | Casper Ruud | 2 - 1 | W |
| 16 Oct | A | Casper Ruud | 2 - 1 | W |
| 18 Oct 2026 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 2 - 1 | Rafael Jodar |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No bookmaker lines stored. | |||||