| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 55.4% | 52% | +3.8% |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 40.8% | 59.2% |
| logistic | 46.2% | 53.8% |
| markov | abstained: unknown match format (best_of=0) | |
| Arthur Fery | Jacob Fearnley | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1783 | 1833 |
| Surface Elo | 1783 | 1833 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 6 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W 路 0 D |
| 20 Oct | H | Borna Gojo | 0 - 2 | L |
| 09 Oct | A | Karen Khachanov | 1 - 2 | L |
| 07 Oct | H | Marin Cilic | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Aug | H | Ignacio Buse | 0 - 2 | L |
| 29 Aug | H | James Duckworth | 1 - 0 | W |
| 25 Oct | A | Lorenzo Sonego | 2 - 1 | W |
| 24 Oct | H | Pablo Carreno Busta | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Oct | A | Clement Chidekh | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Oct | A | Clement Chidekh | 0 - 2 | L |
| 20 Oct | H | Hugo Gaston | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 888sport | h2h | Arthur Fery | 1.91 | 52.4% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| 888sport | h2h | Jacob Fearnley | 1.91 | 52.4% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| Betfair sharp | h2h | Arthur Fery | 2.02 | 49.5% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| Betfair sharp | h2h | Jacob Fearnley | 1.92 | 52.1% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| Betfair sharp | h2h_lay | Arthur Fery | 2.08 | 48.1% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| Betfair sharp | h2h_lay | Jacob Fearnley | 1.99 | 50.2% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | h2h | Arthur Fery | 1.85 | 54.0% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | h2h | Jacob Fearnley | 1.94 | 51.5% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| Matchbook | h2h | Arthur Fery | 1.98 | 50.5% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| Matchbook | h2h | Jacob Fearnley | 1.86 | 53.8% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| Matchbook | h2h_lay | Arthur Fery | 2.16 | 46.3% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| Matchbook | h2h_lay | Jacob Fearnley | 2.04 | 49.0% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| PMU (FR) | h2h | Arthur Fery | 1.78 | 56.2% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| PMU (FR) | h2h | Jacob Fearnley | 1.87 | 53.5% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.94 | 51.5% | 26 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.91 | 52.4% | 26 Oct 06:15 |
| Unibet (FR) | h2h | Arthur Fery | 1.79 | 55.9% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | h2h | Jacob Fearnley | 1.81 | 55.2% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | h2h | Arthur Fery | 1.85 | 54.0% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | h2h | Jacob Fearnley | 1.94 | 51.5% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | h2h | Arthur Fery | 1.85 | 54.0% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | h2h | Jacob Fearnley | 1.94 | 51.5% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| William Hill | h2h | Arthur Fery | 1.91 | 52.4% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| William Hill | h2h | Jacob Fearnley | 1.91 | 52.4% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | h2h | Arthur Fery | 1.88 | 53.2% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | h2h | Jacob Fearnley | 1.90 | 52.6% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | h2h | Arthur Fery | 1.80 | 55.6% | 26 Oct 06:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | h2h | Jacob Fearnley | 1.82 | 54.9% | 26 Oct 06:00 |