| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 58.6% | 61% | -2.0% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 45.3% | 54.7% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 34.8% | 65.1% |
| logistic | 51.7% | 48.3% |
| Nicolas Barrientos | Alan Magadan | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1503 | 1480 |
| Surface Elo | 1503 | 1480 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 1.29 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.14 |
| Rest days | 35 | 5 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 04 Oct | A | Sergi Perez Contri | 2 - 1 | W |
| 24 Nov | A | Juan Pablo Ficovich | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Nov | A | Alex Hernandez | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Nov | H | Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos | 2 - 1 | W |
| 08 May | A | Enrico Dalla Valle | 1 - 2 | L |
| 03 Nov | H | Valerio Aboian | 1 - 2 | L |
| 02 Nov | H | Valerio Aboian | 1 - 2 | L |
| 28 Oct | A | Carlos Maria Zarate | 0 - 1 | L |
| 27 Oct | H | Tristan McCormick | 2 - 0 | W |
| 26 Oct | H | Carlos Maria Zarate | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.65 | 60.6% | 08 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.15 | 46.5% | 08 Nov 06:15 |