| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 54.6% | 57% | -2.9% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 42.1% | 57.9% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 48.1% | 51.9% |
| logistic | 46.7% | 53.3% |
| Maxim Mrva | Dusan Lajovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1616 | 1662 |
| Surface Elo | 1616 | 1662 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.90 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 1 | 32 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 16 Oct | A | Jacob Fearnley | 0 - 2 | L |
| 15 Oct | H | Francesco Maestrelli | 2 - 0 | W |
| 13 Oct | A | Hynek Barton | 1 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Jacob Fearnley | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Francesco Maestrelli | 2 - 0 | W |
| 15 Sep | H | Diego Dedura Palomero | 0 - 1 | L |
| 14 Sep | A | Diego Dedura | 0 - 1 | L |
| 07 Sep | H | Facundo Diaz Acosta | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Sep | H | Facundo Diaz Acosta | 1 - 0 | W |
| 07 Sep | H | Max Alcala Gurri | 2 - 1 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.74 | 57.5% | 18 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.15 | 46.5% | 18 Oct 06:15 |