| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 50.2% | 77% | -26.7% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 38.7% | 61.3% |
| logistic | 60.9% | 39.1% |
| Francesca Jones | Mona Barthel | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1427 | 1316 |
| Surface Elo | 1427 | 1316 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 17 | 58 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 15 Sep | H | Senica, Alja | 2 - 1 | W |
| 30 Aug | H | Iva Jovic | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Aug | H | Magda Linette | 2 - 1 | W |
| 29 Jun | A | Diane Parry | 0 - 2 | L |
| 22 Jun | H | Jelena Ostapenko | 0 - 2 | L |
| 15 Sep | H | Zelnickova, Radka | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Jul | H | Yulia Putintseva | 0 - 2 | L |
| 01 Feb | A | Linda Fruhvirtova | 0 - 2 | L |
| 22 Jul | A | Magda Linette | 0 - 2 | L |
| 15 Jul | H | Noma Noha Akugue | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.30 | 30.3% | 16 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.30 | 76.9% | 16 Sep 06:15 |