| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 52.4% | 45% | +6.9% | |
| DC | Home or draw | 78.3% | 72% | +5.9% | |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 69.3% | 61% | +8.0% | |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.5% | 65% | -11.9% | |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 54.7% | no line |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 49.1% | 24.5% | 26.4% |
| xgboost | 51.9% | 24.6% | 23.5% |
| logistic | 53.6% | 27.0% | 19.4% |
| Hannover | Dresden | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1480 | 1396 |
| Surface Elo | 1480 | 1396 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Form trend | 0.20 | -0.10 |
| Season points per game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.75 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.75 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 7 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 1 W · 3 D |
| 28 Oct | H | Kaiserslautern | 0 - 2 | L |
| 25 Oct | A | Braunschweig | 0 - 2 | L |
| 25 Oct | A | Braunschweig | 0 - 2 | L |
| 17 Oct | H | St Pauli | 1 - 1 | D |
| 17 Oct | H | St Pauli | 1 - 1 | D |
| 28 Oct | H | Schalke 04 | 2 - 0 | W |
| 25 Oct | A | Holstein Kiel | 0 - 3 | L |
| 25 Oct | A | Holstein Kiel | 0 - 3 | L |
| 18 Oct | H | Magdeburg | 2 - 0 | W |
| 18 Oct | H | Magdeburg | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Feb 2026 | Hannover | 0 - 0 | Dresden |
| 21 Sep 2025 | Dresden | 2 - 2 | Hannover |
| 23 Jan 2022 | Hannover | 0 - 0 | Dresden |
| 14 Aug 2021 | Dresden | 2 - 0 | Hannover |
| 03 Jun 2020 | Hannover | 3 - 0 | Dresden |
| 05 Oct 2019 | Dresden | 0 - 2 | Hannover |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.10 | 32.3% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.70 | 27.0% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.20 | 45.5% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.53 | 65.4% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.45 | 40.8% | 30 Oct 06:15 |