| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 68.4% | 65% | +3.5% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 64.3% | 35.6% |
| logistic | 64.6% | 35.4% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Benjamin Pietri | Alexander Vasilev | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1539 | 1470 |
| Surface Elo | 1539 | 1470 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 3 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 05 Nov | A | Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 0 - 2 | L |
| 04 Nov | A | Kai Wehnelt | 2 - 1 | W |
| 01 Nov | H | Miles Jones | 0 - 2 | L |
| 31 Oct | H | Alexander Chang | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Oct | A | Nikita Mashtakov | 2 - 0 | W |
| 08 Nov | A | Arvid Nordquist | 2 - 1 | W |
| 29 Oct | A | Michel Hopp | 0 - 2 | L |
| 27 Oct | A | Nikolaos Chatziavraam | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Oct | H | Julio Cesar Porras | 0 - 2 | L |
| 08 Oct | A | Mattia Nannelli | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.35 | 42.5% | 09 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.54 | 64.9% | 09 Nov 06:15 |