| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 56.9% | 67% | -10.2% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 56.4% | 28.6% |
| xgboost | 64.4% | 33.5% |
| logistic | 65.0% | 35.0% |
| Washington Capitals | Seattle Kraken | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1603 | 1415 |
| Surface Elo | 1603 | 1415 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 0.75 | 0.60 |
| Season goals for / game | 3.50 | 4.20 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.25 | 2.80 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 3 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 09 Oct | H | New York Rangers | 3 - 1 | W |
| 07 Oct | H | Pittsburgh Penguins | 5 - 3 | W |
| 03 Oct | A | Tampa Bay Lightning | 1 - 3 | L |
| 02 Oct | A | Carolina Hurricanes | 5 - 2 | W |
| 14 Apr | A | Columbus Blue Jackets | 2 - 1 | W |
| 09 Oct | A | Detroit Red Wings | 6 - 3 | W |
| 07 Oct | H | Vegas Golden Knights | 2 - 6 | L |
| 05 Oct | H | Calgary Flames | 6 - 1 | W |
| 03 Oct | A | Edmonton Oilers | 1 - 3 | L |
| 02 Oct | A | Calgary Flames | 6 - 1 | W |
| 28 Jan 2026 | Seattle Kraken | 5 - 1 | Washington Capitals |
| 21 Oct 2025 | Washington Capitals | 4 - 1 | Seattle Kraken |
| 09 Mar 2025 | Washington Capitals | 4 - 2 | Seattle Kraken |
| 24 Jan 2025 | Seattle Kraken | 0 - 3 | Washington Capitals |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | home | 1.49 | 67.1% | 11 Oct 15:20 |
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | away | 2.81 | 35.6% | 11 Oct 15:20 |