| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 68.6% | 70% | -1.9% |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 43.6% | 56.4% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 31.9% | 68.0% |
| logistic | 32.4% | 67.6% |
| Gabriele Pennaforti | Luca Potenza | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1372 | 1504 |
| Surface Elo | 1372 | 1504 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.90 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.20 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.40 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 23 | 29 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W 路 0 D |
| 18 Oct | A | Matthew William Donald | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Rares Teodor Pieleanu | 0 - 2 | L |
| 08 Oct | A | Laurent Lokoli | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Oct | H | Ruben Hartig | 2 - 0 | W |
| 06 Oct | H | Matteo Vavassori | 2 - 1 | W |
| 13 Oct | A | Oriol Roca Batalla | 1 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Radu Mihai Papoe | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Oriol Roca Batalla | 2 - 0 | W |
| 06 Oct | H | Enrico Dalla Valle | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | A | Enrico Dalla Valle | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.40 | 71.4% | 11 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.75 | 36.4% | 11 Nov 06:15 |