| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No prediction run for this match yet. | |||||
| Model | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|
| – | |||
| Carlos Alcaraz | Alex Michelsen | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 2262 | 1921 |
| Surface Elo | 2262 | 1921 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 23 | 23 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 01 Oct | A | Alex Michelsen | 2 - 1 | W |
| 08 Sep | A | Ben Shelton | 2 - 3 | L |
| 06 Sep | H | Tommy Paul | 3 - 0 | W |
| 04 Sep | H | Yibing Wu | 3 - 0 | W |
| 02 Sep | H | Jaime Faria | 3 - 1 | W |
| 01 Oct | H | Carlos Alcaraz | 1 - 2 | L |
| 08 Sep | H | Frances Tiafoe | 2 - 3 | L |
| 06 Sep | H | Tomas Martin Etcheverry | 3 - 0 | W |
| 04 Sep | H | Daniel Merida | 3 - 0 | W |
| 02 Sep | H | Brandon Nakashima | 3 - 0 | W |
| 01 Oct 2026 | Alex Michelsen | 1 - 2 | Carlos Alcaraz |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 888sport | h2h | Alex Michelsen | 5.00 | 20.0% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| 888sport | h2h | Carlos Alcaraz | 1.17 | 85.5% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| BetAnything | h2h | Alex Michelsen | 5.73 | 17.4% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| BetAnything | h2h | Carlos Alcaraz | 1.14 | 87.7% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | h2h | Alex Michelsen | 5.20 | 19.2% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | h2h | Carlos Alcaraz | 1.15 | 87.0% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Betfair sharp | h2h | Alex Michelsen | 5.90 | 17.0% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Betfair sharp | h2h | Carlos Alcaraz | 1.19 | 84.0% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Betfair sharp | h2h_lay | Alex Michelsen | 6.20 | 16.1% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Betfair sharp | h2h_lay | Carlos Alcaraz | 1.21 | 82.6% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | h2h | Alex Michelsen | 5.96 | 16.8% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | h2h | Carlos Alcaraz | 1.14 | 87.7% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Betsson | h2h | Alex Michelsen | 5.20 | 19.2% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Betsson | h2h | Carlos Alcaraz | 1.15 | 87.0% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Coolbet | h2h | Alex Michelsen | 5.30 | 18.9% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Coolbet | h2h | Carlos Alcaraz | 1.16 | 86.2% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| GTbets | h2h | Alex Michelsen | 5.26 | 19.0% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| GTbets | h2h | Carlos Alcaraz | 1.18 | 84.8% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Marathon Bet | h2h | Alex Michelsen | 5.15 | 19.4% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Marathon Bet | h2h | Carlos Alcaraz | 1.16 | 86.2% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Matchbook | h2h | Alex Michelsen | 6.00 | 16.7% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Matchbook | h2h | Carlos Alcaraz | 1.19 | 84.0% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Matchbook | h2h_lay | Alex Michelsen | 6.20 | 16.1% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Matchbook | h2h_lay | Carlos Alcaraz | 1.20 | 83.3% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Nordic Bet | h2h | Alex Michelsen | 5.20 | 19.2% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Nordic Bet | h2h | Carlos Alcaraz | 1.15 | 87.0% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Pinnacle sharp | h2h | Alex Michelsen | 5.74 | 17.4% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Pinnacle sharp | h2h | Carlos Alcaraz | 1.17 | 85.5% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| PMU (FR) | h2h | Alex Michelsen | 4.70 | 21.3% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| PMU (FR) | h2h | Carlos Alcaraz | 1.13 | 88.5% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 5.50 | 18.2% | 01 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.16 | 86.2% | 01 Oct 06:15 |
| Tipico | h2h | Alex Michelsen | 5.50 | 18.2% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Tipico | h2h | Carlos Alcaraz | 1.11 | 90.1% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | h2h | Alex Michelsen | 4.60 | 21.7% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | h2h | Carlos Alcaraz | 1.12 | 89.3% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | h2h | Alex Michelsen | 5.10 | 19.6% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | h2h | Carlos Alcaraz | 1.17 | 85.5% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | h2h | Alex Michelsen | 5.10 | 19.6% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | h2h | Carlos Alcaraz | 1.17 | 85.5% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| William Hill | h2h | Alex Michelsen | 5.00 | 20.0% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| William Hill | h2h | Carlos Alcaraz | 1.17 | 85.5% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | h2h | Alex Michelsen | 5.70 | 17.5% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | h2h | Carlos Alcaraz | 1.17 | 85.5% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | h2h | Alex Michelsen | 5.30 | 18.9% | 01 Oct 06:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | h2h | Carlos Alcaraz | 1.15 | 87.0% | 01 Oct 06:00 |