| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 55.8% | 52% | +3.7% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 43.8% | 56.2% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 40.5% | 59.5% |
| logistic | 48.2% | 51.8% |
| Felix Gill | Filip Misolic | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1624 | 1651 |
| Surface Elo | 1624 | 1651 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.44 | 1.40 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.67 | 0.80 |
| Rest days | 2 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 19 Oct | H | Filip Misolic | 0 - 2 | L |
| 17 Oct | H | Radu Mihai Papoe | 0 - 1 | L |
| 16 Oct | A | Buvaysar Gadamauri | 2 - 1 | W |
| 14 Oct | A | Izan Almazan Valiente | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Gabriele Piraino | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Daniel Siniakov | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Michele Ribecai | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Izan Almazan Valiente | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Felix Gill | 2 - 0 | W |
| 18 Oct | H | Dominik Recek | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct 2026 | Felix Gill | 0 - 2 | Filip Misolic |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.92 | 52.1% | 20 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.82 | 54.9% | 20 Oct 06:15 |