| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 56.7% | 60% | -3.0% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or draw | 82.1% | 86% | -3.5% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 75.6% | 78% | -2.8% | void |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.4% | 64% | -4.5% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 55.3% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 62.5% | 20.6% | 16.8% |
| xgboost | 57.5% | 22.9% | 19.7% |
| logistic | 58.7% | 23.4% | 18.0% |
| East Kilbride | Montrose | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1528 | 1444 |
| Surface Elo | 1528 | 1444 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.20 | 0.90 |
| Season points per game | 1.70 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.90 | 1.30 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.40 | 1.90 |
| Rest days | 7 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 13 Oct | H | Kelty Hearts | 2 - 1 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Airdrieonians FC | 2 - 2 | D |
| 10 Oct | H | Airdrie Utd | 2 - 2 | D |
| 03 Oct | A | East Fife | 3 - 0 | W |
| 03 Oct | A | East Fife | 3 - 0 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Ross County | 0 - 5 | L |
| 10 Oct | H | Ross County | 0 - 5 | L |
| 03 Oct | A | Airdrieonians FC | 0 - 1 | L |
| 03 Oct | A | Airdrie Utd | 0 - 1 | L |
| 26 Sep | A | Kelty Hearts | 1 - 2 | L |
| 22 Aug 2026 | Montrose | 3 - 0 | East Kilbride |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 4.20 | 23.8% | 17 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.80 | 26.3% | 17 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 1.62 | 61.7% | 17 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.53 | 65.4% | 17 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.38 | 42.0% | 17 Oct 15:00 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 4.20 | 23.8% | 17 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.00 | 25.0% | 17 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.73 | 57.8% | 17 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.56 | 64.1% | 17 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.40 | 41.7% | 17 Oct 06:15 |