OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge

Back to 🏈 NFL on 2026-10-19

NFL · Monday 19 October 2026, 00:20 UTC · finished

Green Bay Packers – 23 - 13 – Dallas Cowboys

NFL forecast: home/away probabilities are conditional on no tie. Full-game moneylines include overtime; ties refund. Pick publication is disabled pending validation.

Our markets (latest run)

Market	Most likely	Model	Bookmaker	Edge	Result
1X2	Home win	61.3%	52%	+8.9%	✓ hit

Model breakdown (1X2)

Model	Home	Away
ensemble	61.3%	38.7%

Inputs the models saw

	Green Bay Packers	Dallas Cowboys
playoff	0.00
elo diff	0.13
form diff	0.00
rest diff	-0.39
home field	1.00
point diff	-0.15
opponent strength diff	0.08
Information cutoff (UTC)	2026-10-18T00:20:00+00:00

Green Bay Packers: last 5

11 Oct	H	Chicago Bears	31 - 7	W
04 Oct	A	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	17 - 14	W
25 Sep	H	Atlanta Falcons	14 - 35	L
20 Sep	A	New York Jets	20 - 17	W
13 Sep	A	Minnesota Vikings	22 - 39	L

Dallas Cowboys: last 5

09 Oct	H	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	16 - 24	L
04 Oct	A	Houston Texans	34 - 30	W
27 Sep	H	Baltimore Ravens	31 - 34	L
20 Sep	H	Washington Commanders	37 - 20	W
14 Sep	A	New York Giants	20 - 28	L

Head to head

29 Sep 2025	Dallas Cowboys	40 - 40	Green Bay Packers
14 Jan 2024	Dallas Cowboys	32 - 48	Green Bay Packers
13 Nov 2022	Green Bay Packers	31 - 28	Dallas Cowboys
06 Oct 2019	Dallas Cowboys	24 - 34	Green Bay Packers
08 Oct 2017	Dallas Cowboys	31 - 35	Green Bay Packers
15 Jan 2017	Dallas Cowboys	31 - 34	Green Bay Packers
16 Oct 2016	Green Bay Packers	16 - 30	Dallas Cowboys
13 Dec 2015	Green Bay Packers	28 - 7	Dallas Cowboys
11 Jan 2015	Green Bay Packers	26 - 21	Dallas Cowboys
15 Dec 2013	Dallas Cowboys	36 - 37	Green Bay Packers

Bookmaker lines

Book	Market	Outcome	Odds	Implied	As of
Pinnacle sharp	1X2	home	2.00	50.0%	18 Oct 23:20
Pinnacle sharp	1X2	away	1.90	52.6%	18 Oct 23:20

Generated 2026-10-30 19:22 UTC