| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 61.4% | 64% | -2.2% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 57.0% | 43.0% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 60.0% | 40.0% |
| logistic | 60.1% | 39.9% |
| Titouan Droguet | Harold Mayot | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1878 | 1752 |
| Surface Elo | 1878 | 1752 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 2.63 | 2.33 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.88 | 1.78 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.88 | 0.89 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 26 Sep | H | Dino Prizmic | 2 - 1 | W |
| 25 Sep | H | Mark Lajal | 2 - 0 | W |
| 23 Sep | H | Borna Gojo | 2 - 1 | W |
| 22 Sep | H | Karl Poling | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Harold Mayot | 2 - 0 | W |
| 26 Sep | H | Murphy Cassone | 2 - 1 | W |
| 25 Sep | H | Jesper De Jong | 2 - 1 | W |
| 24 Sep | A | Edas Butvilas | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Sep | H | Justin Boulais | 2 - 1 | W |
| 22 Sep | H | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep 2026 | Harold Mayot | 0 - 2 | Titouan Droguet |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.30 | 43.5% | 27 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.57 | 63.7% | 27 Sep 06:15 |