| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 45.3% | 45% | +0.6% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or away | 73.4% | 75% | -1.7% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 58.1% | 64% | -5.6% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.2% | 46% | +9.1% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 53.9% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.2% | 30.8% | 32.0% |
| xgboost | 36.2% | 28.1% | 35.6% |
| logistic | 40.8% | 29.7% | 29.5% |
| Oviedo | Eibar | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1494 | 1604 |
| Surface Elo | 1494 | 1604 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.40 | 3.00 |
| Form trend | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.38 | 2.63 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 2.25 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 0.88 |
| Rest days | 9 | 9 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 3 W · 3 D |
| 02 Oct | A | Eldense | 1 - 4 | L |
| 02 Oct | A | Eldense | 1 - 4 | L |
| 27 Sep | H | Sp Gijon | 2 - 0 | W |
| 27 Sep | H | Sporting Gijon | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Sep | A | Sabadell | 1 - 3 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | CD San Ignacio | 1 - 2 | L |
| 03 Oct | A | Albacete | 3 - 1 | W |
| 03 Oct | A | Albacete | 3 - 1 | W |
| 27 Sep | H | Las Palmas | 3 - 2 | W |
| 27 Sep | H | Las Palmas | 3 - 2 | W |
| 05 Apr 2025 | Eibar | 1 - 1 | Oviedo |
| 29 Sep 2024 | Oviedo | 1 - 0 | Eibar |
| 02 Jun 2024 | Eibar | 4 - 3 | Oviedo |
| 19 Nov 2023 | Oviedo | 2 - 1 | Eibar |
| 01 Apr 2023 | Oviedo | 1 - 1 | Eibar |
| 11 Dec 2022 | Eibar | 1 - 0 | Oviedo |
| 10 Jan 2022 | Oviedo | 1 - 1 | Eibar |
| 03 Nov 2021 | Eibar | 1 - 0 | Oviedo |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 2.85 | 35.1% | 12 Oct 17:30 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.00 | 33.3% | 12 Oct 17:30 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 2.55 | 39.2% | 12 Oct 17:30 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.40 | 41.7% | 12 Oct 17:30 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.53 | 65.4% | 12 Oct 17:30 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.33 | 30.0% | 12 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.10 | 32.3% | 12 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.30 | 43.5% | 12 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.25 | 44.4% | 12 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.63 | 61.4% | 12 Oct 06:15 |