| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 70.1% | 76% | -6.3% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 29.7% | 70.3% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 28.8% | 71.1% |
| logistic | 23.5% | 76.5% |
| Remy Bertola | Denis Shapovalov | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1552 | 1883 |
| Surface Elo | 1552 | 1883 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 2.40 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.80 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.25 | 0.80 |
| Rest days | 2 | 24 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 25 Oct | A | Mika Brunold | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Oct | A | David Goffin | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Oct | A | David Goffin | 1 - 2 | L |
| 18 Oct | H | Federico Cina | 1 - 2 | L |
| 17 Oct | A | Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | 2 - 1 | W |
| 04 Oct | A | Carlos Alcaraz | 0 - 1 | L |
| 03 Oct | H | Alejandro Tabilo | 2 - 1 | W |
| 03 Oct | A | Alejandro Tabilo | 2 - 1 | W |
| 01 Oct | H | Sho Shimabukuro | 2 - 0 | W |
| 01 Oct | H | Sho Shimabukuro | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.35 | 74.1% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.35 | 29.8% | 27 Oct 06:15 |