| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win selected | 70.3% | 58% | +12.1% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 44.8% | 55.2% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 16.9% | 83.0% |
| logistic | 40.3% | 59.7% |
| Carlo Alberto Caniato | Tom Gentzsch | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1600 | 1698 |
| Surface Elo | 1600 | 1698 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 3.00 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 1.67 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.20 | 0.67 |
| Rest days | 2 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 22 Sep | H | Lorenzo Berto | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Luka Mikrut | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | H | Francesco Forti | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Jay Clarke | 1 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Tom Gentzsch | 2 - 1 | W |
| 22 Sep | A | Enrico Dalla Valle | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Carlo Alberto Caniato | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Enrico Dalla Valle | 2 - 0 | W |
| 18 Sep | H | Luka Mikrut | 1 - 2 | L |
| 16 Sep | H | Martin Krumich | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep 2026 | Carlo Alberto Caniato | 2 - 1 | Tom Gentzsch |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.77 | 56.5% | 24 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.98 | 50.5% | 24 Sep 06:15 |