OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge

Back to 🎾 Tennis on 2026-10-08

🎾 tennis_atp_shanghai_masters · Thursday 08 October 2026, 07:20 UTC · scheduled

Juan Manuel Cerundolo 1.20 07:20 0.00 Nicolas Mejia

Our markets (latest run)

Market	Most likely	Model	Bookmaker	Edge	Result
1X2	Home win	64.4%	68%	-3.6%

Model breakdown (1X2)

Model	Home	Away
poisson	37.1%	35.2%
xgboost	64.5%	35.4%
logistic	68.8%	31.2%
markov	abstained: unknown match format (best_of=0)

Inputs the models saw

	Juan Manuel Cerundolo	Nicolas Mejia
Elo (pre-match)	1820	1616
Surface Elo	1820	1616
Form, last 5 (PPG)	1.20	0.00
Form trend	0.90	0.00
Season points per game	1.50	1.50
Season goals for / game	1.50	1.50
Season goals against / game	1.50	1.50
Rest days	8	15
Head-to-head (last 10)	0 W	0 W · 0 D

Juan Manuel Cerundolo: last 5

08 Oct	H	Nicolas Mejia	2 - 0	W
30 Sep	H	Bu Yunchaokete	1 - 2	L
30 Sep	H	Yunchaokete Bu	1 - 2	L
26 Sep	H	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0 - 2	L
26 Sep	A	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0 - 2	L

Nicolas Mejia: last 5

08 Oct	A	Juan Manuel Cerundolo	0 - 2	L
22 Sep	A	Ugo Blanchet	0 - 1	L
21 Sep	H	Ugo Blanchet	0 - 1	L
17 Aug	A	Camilo Ugo Carabelli	0 - 2	L
15 Aug	A	Adam Walton	0 - 2	L

Head to head

08 Oct 2026

Juan Manuel Cerundolo

2 - 0

Nicolas Mejia

Bookmaker lines

Book	Market	Outcome	Odds	Implied	As of
1xBet	h2h	Juan Manuel Cerundolo	1.49	67.1%	08 Oct 06:01
1xBet	h2h	Nicolas Mejia	2.70	37.0%	08 Oct 06:01
888sport	h2h	Juan Manuel Cerundolo	1.44	69.4%	08 Oct 06:01
888sport	h2h	Nicolas Mejia	2.75	36.4%	08 Oct 06:01
BetAnything	h2h	Juan Manuel Cerundolo	1.44	69.4%	08 Oct 06:01
BetAnything	h2h	Nicolas Mejia	2.85	35.1%	08 Oct 06:01
Betfair sharp	h2h	Juan Manuel Cerundolo	1.48	67.6%	08 Oct 06:01
Betfair sharp	h2h	Nicolas Mejia	3.00	33.3%	08 Oct 06:01
Betfair sharp	h2h_lay	Juan Manuel Cerundolo	1.50	66.7%	08 Oct 06:01
Betfair sharp	h2h_lay	Nicolas Mejia	3.10	32.3%	08 Oct 06:01
BetOnline.ag	h2h	Juan Manuel Cerundolo	1.45	69.0%	08 Oct 06:01
BetOnline.ag	h2h	Nicolas Mejia	2.84	35.2%	08 Oct 06:01
Betsson	h2h	Juan Manuel Cerundolo	1.46	68.5%	08 Oct 06:01
Betsson	h2h	Nicolas Mejia	2.75	36.4%	08 Oct 06:01
Coolbet	h2h	Juan Manuel Cerundolo	1.45	69.0%	08 Oct 06:01
Coolbet	h2h	Nicolas Mejia	2.78	36.0%	08 Oct 06:01
GTbets	h2h	Juan Manuel Cerundolo	1.45	69.0%	08 Oct 06:01
GTbets	h2h	Nicolas Mejia	2.75	36.4%	08 Oct 06:01
LeoVegas (SE)	h2h	Juan Manuel Cerundolo	1.48	67.6%	08 Oct 06:01
LeoVegas (SE)	h2h	Nicolas Mejia	2.63	38.0%	08 Oct 06:01
Matchbook	h2h	Juan Manuel Cerundolo	1.48	67.6%	08 Oct 06:01
Matchbook	h2h	Nicolas Mejia	3.00	33.3%	08 Oct 06:01
Matchbook	h2h_lay	Juan Manuel Cerundolo	1.50	66.7%	08 Oct 06:01
Matchbook	h2h_lay	Nicolas Mejia	3.10	32.3%	08 Oct 06:01
Nordic Bet	h2h	Juan Manuel Cerundolo	1.46	68.5%	08 Oct 06:01
Nordic Bet	h2h	Nicolas Mejia	2.75	36.4%	08 Oct 06:01
Pinnacle sharp	h2h	Juan Manuel Cerundolo	1.46	68.5%	08 Oct 06:01
Pinnacle sharp	h2h	Nicolas Mejia	2.90	34.5%	08 Oct 06:01
PMU (FR)	h2h	Juan Manuel Cerundolo	1.43	69.9%	08 Oct 06:01
PMU (FR)	h2h	Nicolas Mejia	2.50	40.0%	08 Oct 06:01
SportyBet	1X2	away	2.80	35.7%	08 Oct 06:15
SportyBet	1X2	home	1.47	68.0%	08 Oct 06:15
Tipico	h2h	Juan Manuel Cerundolo	1.40	71.4%	08 Oct 06:01
Tipico	h2h	Nicolas Mejia	2.70	37.0%	08 Oct 06:01
Unibet (FR)	h2h	Juan Manuel Cerundolo	1.42	70.4%	08 Oct 06:01
Unibet (FR)	h2h	Nicolas Mejia	2.60	38.5%	08 Oct 06:01
Unibet (NL)	h2h	Juan Manuel Cerundolo	1.48	67.6%	08 Oct 06:01
Unibet (NL)	h2h	Nicolas Mejia	2.63	38.0%	08 Oct 06:01
Unibet (SE)	h2h	Juan Manuel Cerundolo	1.48	67.6%	08 Oct 06:01
Unibet (SE)	h2h	Nicolas Mejia	2.63	38.0%	08 Oct 06:01
William Hill	h2h	Juan Manuel Cerundolo	1.44	69.4%	08 Oct 06:01
William Hill	h2h	Nicolas Mejia	2.75	36.4%	08 Oct 06:01
Winamax (DE)	h2h	Juan Manuel Cerundolo	1.48	67.6%	08 Oct 06:01
Winamax (DE)	h2h	Nicolas Mejia	2.80	35.7%	08 Oct 06:01
Winamax (FR)	h2h	Juan Manuel Cerundolo	1.46	68.5%	08 Oct 06:01
Winamax (FR)	h2h	Nicolas Mejia	2.70	37.0%	08 Oct 06:01

Generated 2026-10-30 18:17 UTC