| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 56.6% | 60% | -3.6% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 51.0% | 49.0% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 40.9% | 59.0% |
| logistic | 38.0% | 62.0% |
| Blu Baker | Lorenzo Claverie | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1442 | 1485 |
| Surface Elo | 1442 | 1485 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.67 | 1.33 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.33 | 0.67 |
| Rest days | 2 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 05 Nov | H | Rafael De Alba | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Nov | A | Frazier Rengifo | 2 - 0 | W |
| 13 Oct | A | Zsombor Velcz | 0 - 2 | L |
| 23 Sep | H | Maxted, L | 0 - 2 | L |
| 31 Jul | H | Colin Markes | 0 - 2 | L |
| 06 Nov | A | Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros | 2 - 1 | W |
| 04 Nov | A | Carlo Arena Fava | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Oct | H | Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva | 0 - 2 | L |
| 26 Oct | A | Ryan Nijboer | 2 - 0 | W |
| 26 Oct | A | Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.66 | 60.2% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.10 | 47.6% | 06 Nov 06:15 |