| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 46.6% | 39% | +7.1% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 77.1% | 78% | -0.9% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 58.5% | 55% | +3.5% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 55.4% | 53% | +2.5% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 50.1% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 52.6% | 24.1% | 23.4% |
| xgboost | 41.7% | 28.3% | 30.0% |
| logistic | 34.9% | 22.1% | 42.9% |
| Perugia | Pescara | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1415 | 1371 |
| Surface Elo | 1415 | 1371 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | -0.10 |
| Season points per game | 1.80 | 1.75 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.20 | 0.75 |
| Rest days | 1252 | 167 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 4 W | 0 W · 2 D |
| 18 Oct | A | Campobasso FC | 5 - 1 | W |
| 11 Oct | H | Vado FC | 0 - 2 | L |
| 03 Oct | A | AS Gubbio | 3 - 1 | W |
| 27 Sep | H | Reggiana | 1 - 0 | W |
| 20 Sep | A | US Grosseto | 0 - 2 | L |
| 17 Oct | H | Salernitana | 3 - 3 | D |
| 12 Oct | H | Guidonia Montecelio 1937 FC | 1 - 1 | D |
| 10 Oct | H | Ascoli | 5 - 2 | W |
| 03 Oct | A | Livorno | 1 - 0 | W |
| 27 Sep | H | Spezia | 1 - 2 | L |
| 10 Jul 2020 | Pescara | 2 - 2 | Perugia |
| 01 Dec 2019 | Perugia | 3 - 1 | Pescara |
| 12 Apr 2019 | Pescara | 1 - 1 | Perugia |
| 02 Dec 2018 | Perugia | 2 - 1 | Pescara |
| 26 Jan 2018 | Pescara | 0 - 2 | Perugia |
| 03 Sep 2017 | Perugia | 4 - 2 | Pescara |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.60 | 38.5% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.25 | 30.8% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.60 | 38.5% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.81 | 55.2% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.93 | 51.8% | 23 Oct 06:15 |