| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 71.0% | 71% | -0.5% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 36.4% | 63.6% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 16.5% | 83.5% |
| logistic | 41.1% | 58.9% |
| Murkel Dellien | Hernan Casanova | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1464 | 1561 |
| Surface Elo | 1464 | 1561 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.00 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 29 | 50 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 21 Sep | A | Juan Pablo Varillas | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Hernan Casanova | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Aug | A | Benito Sanchez Martinez | 0 - 2 | L |
| 17 Aug | H | Ryan Nijboer | 0 - 2 | L |
| 10 Aug | A | Daniel Elahi Galan | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | H | Murkel Dellien | 0 - 2 | L |
| 03 Aug | H | Yannick Theodor Alexandrescou | 0 - 2 | L |
| 06 Jul | H | Nicolas Mejia | 0 - 2 | L |
| 06 Jul | H | Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 2 - 0 | W |
| 06 Jul | H | Ignacio Monzon | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep 2026 | Hernan Casanova | 0 - 2 | Murkel Dellien |
| 04 May 2026 | Hernan Casanova | 2 - 0 | Murkel Dellien |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.37 | 73.0% | 22 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.95 | 33.9% | 22 Sep 06:15 |