| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 54.2% | 59% | -4.6% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 31.0% | 69.0% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 66.5% | 33.5% |
| logistic | 41.4% | 58.6% |
| Bu Yunchaokete | Casper Ruud | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1850 | 1934 |
| Surface Elo | 1850 | 1934 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 0.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 9 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 08 Oct | A | Luca Van Assche | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Oct | H | Novak Djokovic | 1 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | A | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 2 - 1 | W |
| 27 Sep | A | Roman Safiullin | 0 - 2 | L |
| 26 Sep | H | Kamil Majchrzak | 2 - 1 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Yunchaokete Bu | 2 - 0 | W |
| 01 Oct | A | Luciano Darderi | 0 - 2 | L |
| 01 Oct | H | Luciano Darderi | 0 - 2 | L |
| 16 Aug | H | Christopher O'Connell | 0 - 1 | L |
| 08 Aug | H | Joao Fonseca | 0 - 2 | L |
| 26 Aug 2024 | Bu Yunchaokete | 0 - 3 | Casper Ruud |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.70 | 58.8% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.20 | 45.5% | 09 Oct 06:15 |